Sunday, February 3, 2019

The Trade Deadline Looms: Western Conference Edition


Well, how about that for kicking off some trade deadline predictions.  Within one day of releasing my thoughts on what could happen in the Eastern Conference, the Toronto Maple Leafs went out and made a splash in the market by acquiring Jake Muzzin from the L.A. Kings, one of the top defensemen I mentioned they could and should target. And just a few days later the Penguins had also moved Brassard, just not in the manner I mentioned, so that’s a partial win.  Now with the trades beginning to become more frequent and even more important there is no time to waste in breaking down a few of the top teams in the Western Conference.

Winnipeg Jets:

The Jets are one of the most complete teams in the NHL this season and at this moment they’re leading the toughest division in the entire league, the Central.  How could a team like this get much better?  They have a killer PP which has a 26.1% of success, tops in the West.  They’re tied for 3rd in GF/G at 3.4 and their GA/G is 3rd best as well at 2.8.  The PK is even top-5 at 81.5%...this is a team that seemingly has no weakness. But even the best teams still look to make improvements and for them it looks like getting another center could be their main objective.

When looking to grabbing up another center, two come to mind for me.  Brian Boyle and Brayden Schenn could both be good fits in the 3rd line role. Schenn who I previously mentioned in the Eastern Conference write up I had originally as a fit in Pittsburgh in exchange for Brassard. I originally had an idea for the three-team trade here that would send Brassard to the Jets since it is known that they have been targeting him since last season.   But now that the Pens have moved him to Florida instead, Schenn would be an equally good fit for the Jets. He is a big body who plays with a physical edge and is usually good for 50+ pts a year as well.  And as we know the playoffs are all about playing a tight, physical game, and depth scoring.

Brayden  Schenn stat line


When it comes to size, not many players bring more than Brian Boyle.  At 6’7” in height and almost 250lbs, Boyle brings size, speed, physicality, and defensive responsibility.  Though he has been playing on the wing most of this season, he has been very successful at center in the past and is a player many would love to have to upgrade their PK.  In his last 4 seasons he has a combined FO% winning 51.1% of his draws.  He also has been a key shot blocker with 146 blocks, including 31 this season.  While his isn’t known for his offense, he brings leadership and experience to teams which has proven just as important in the past. 

Brian Boyle stat line

Colorado Avalanche:

Colorado has been one of the hot picks this season to make a deep playoff run after their hot start to the season.  They also have one of the top lines in the league with Rantanen, MacKinnon, and Landeskog who have all been at the top in league scoring from the beginning of the year.  But beyond those three players, the Av’s don’t get many pucks in the net. Between the players on this line, the lowest scorer of the bunch is Landeskog at 54pts.  From there it is a steep drop to the next highest scoring forward all the way down at 31pts.  It is without question the Av’s will be looking to add some scoring punch.

Two premiere wingers they could target are Mark Stone and Artemi Panarin.  Both players would likely come and very high price though. Both players bring speed and scoring as both players have toped 50pts already this season.  Both will also be UFA’s when the season is up, so the Av’s will have to weigh paying a very high price against the possibility of losing these players in just a few months. This cost will likely be a high-end prospect and a 1st round pick at the bare minimum.  I would bet money that a 3rd round pick would be included as well, and you’re likely looking at having a guy like Tyson Jost or Cal Makar included in the deal.  And resigning either player is going to cost you a high salary as well, probably in the range of $9 million.

Artemi Panarin stat line

Mark Stone stat line

I don’t think that is a realistic route that they will take but it is a possibility to think about.  They could likely go a cheaper route though and grab a player like Kevin Hayes, Wayne Simmonds, Mats Zuccarello, or Gustav Nyquist (I discussed a few teams where he could have end up right here).  Hayes and Simmonds are both big and physical yet bring offense to their teams.   Both players take advantage of the powerplay as well, Simmonds has made a career out of playing in front of the net. Simmonds is the older and more physical player of the two as well which brings added value.  But Hayes is younger, bigger, and a better skater.  Both players will be UFA’s after this season.

Wayne Simmonds stat line 

Kevin Hayes stat line

And then there was Mats Zuccarello, the smallest of the bunch standing only 5’8” and weighing in at 185lbs.  But what he lacks in size he makes up for in skill.  He is a smaller forward who is an excellent skater with great vision.  In his last three full seasons he has scored over 50pts each year and has 27pts in only 36 games played this year. For all these players the cost should remain about the same. 1st or 2nd round pick and a mid-late round pick with a prospect mixed in.  But if the Av’s are serious about contending, look for them to make a move for a defensive defenseman as well.  Someone like Andy Greene or Alex Edler.

Mats Zuccarello stat line


San Jose Sharks:

The San Jose Sharks will be the final team we look at in the Western Conference.  They have been one of the top teams in the league all season long and are currently in 2nd place in the Pacific Division.  And they’re near the top of the league in most categories, including PP%, PK%, SF/G, and SA/G.  The have balanced scoring up and down the line up, including on defense.  As far as defense goes, they have what is one of the top-5 defense cores in the league.  So, what is there to add for a team that seems to have everything?

Let’s start on defense.  The players that they have all skate well, defend well, and move the puck up the ice very well.  If adding a player on defense they’ll be looking for someone similar as to not disrupt the chemistry, but perhaps a player who is a bit more of a shut down defenseman who can play a physical game in front of the net and block some shots.  Two veterans come to mind Andy Greene and Brent Seabrook. 

Brent Seabrook stat line
Andy Green stat line

Seabrook is a longshot to be moved due to his price tag, long contract, and No-Trade Clause, though it is rumored that Chicago has asked him to waive it.  But he has a championship pedigree that has been missing in San Jose for years.  He plays well in front of the net and is a very good shot blocker.  He also moves the puck very well and has a cannon of a shot.  Andy Green is a similar player though he doesn’t put up the points like Seabrook has, but that could be because of the teams he has played on.  And at 36 years old, Greene has 1 more year on his contract at $5 Million.


Offensively the Sharks seem to have it all.  But adding another consistent point producer who can skate never hurts.  A good fit could be Chris Kreider of the New York Rangers.  He is a big guy who can skate like the wind, has an excellent shot and drives the net hard.  He is currently 1st in goals and 2nd in points and hits on the Rangers including 11pts on the PP. He is only 27 years old and has 1 more year on his contract at a very reasonable $4.625 Million.  He is a player that could be worth the Sharks taking a shot at and may be just the piece to put them over the top.

Chris Kreider stat line


And with that we’ll be looking forward to a lot of potential action from the teams not only in the West but the entire league.  I will say the Western Conference is extremely hard to predict since all the teams are roughly within 10pts of a playoff spot currently.  All it would take is a small winning streak for a team at the bottom to jump into a wild card spot and focusing at the teams in the top of the standings like I have brings its own difficulties too.  These top teams are so good already it is hard to find a way to improve them without upsetting what the teams already do so well. 

But these are fun scenarios to think about and with all the moves that have happened already we’re going to be in for a very busy month.  Will any of these trades take place or these players move somewhere, that I can’t say for sure.  But if I were a GM for a any of these teams, these are the areas I would look to improve, and these are a few of the players who could help do so.  Seeing a few moves that have already happened tells me I’m not to far off either seeing that Muzzin and Brassard have already been moved.  But we’ll all find out together, as the trade deadline looms.

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